NOAA CLIMATE OUTLOOKS

Seasonal Forecast Center

Official monthly and seasonal probability outlooks with readable climate context.

HOW TO READ THIS CENTER

Probabilities, not exact daily weather

Seasonal outlooks show whether above, near, or below normal temperature and precipitation categories are favored. They do not predict individual storms or the weather on a specific day.

READABLE FORECAST DISCUSSION

NOAA CPC outlook summary

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DROUGHT

Seasonal Drought Outlook

Potential drought development, persistence, improvement, and removal.

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HEAT AND FIRE

Seasonal Hazard Context

Heat and wildfire potential depend on evolving weather, fuels, and drought.

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Official NOAA climate outlooks

Local interpretation should be based on the probability category covering your location on the official map. Equal Chances means no category is favored, not that average conditions are guaranteed. Consult shorter range forecasts as the valid period approaches.

Discussion retrieved from NOAA CPC.